{"name":"storm: settlement-station temperature probabilities for Kalshi weather markets","paid_endpoint":{"path":"GET /v1/kalshi/{high|low}/{station}/{YYYY-MM-DD}","price":"$0.05","network":"eip155:84532","query":{"bracket":"repeatable, e.g. 84-85, 90+, <=70. Inclusive integer °F, as Kalshi brackets are written","sigma":"kernel width in °F added to each ensemble member (default 1.5)","observed":"true (default) | false: clamp to today's observed high/low so far from NWS"},"returns":"P(settled value >= T) for every relevant integer T, bracket probabilities, raw members, observed-so-far"},"method":"NOAA GEFS 31-member ensemble, 2m TMAX/TMIN, bilinear to station, NWS climate day (local standard time). Kernel-smoothed; not yet bias-corrected or calibrated against CLI history.","data_run":"2026-10-10T18:00:00+00:00","stations":"/v1/stations"}